PredictIt Taxes: Does PredictIt Send a 1099, and How Do You Report Winnings?
PredictIt says it issues a 1099 to US traders with $600 or more of net profit. How it computes that number, how withdrawal fees changed, and how to report.
OddsFile research·Updated Oct 31, 2026·4 min read
On this page
- What PredictIt says about the 1099
- The $600 threshold in 2026
- The form tells you less than you think
- How to report it
- Worked example
- Does Section 1256 apply to PredictIt?
- Losses
- Don't miss the digital asset question
- Records to save
- FAQ
- Does PredictIt report to the IRS?
- I made $400. Do I report it?
- Is PredictIt's net profit the same as what I withdrew?
- Can I deduct PredictIt's 10% profit fee?
PredictIt says it issues a Form 1099 to any US-resident trader with net profit of $600 or more in a calendar year. That number is a net figure, calculated by PredictIt, and it isn't the only amount that matters: profit below the threshold is still taxable, and a net loss won't produce a form at all. How to classify the profit is the same open question as for Kalshi and Polymarket, because the IRS has issued no guidance.
OddsFile is software, not tax advice. The IRS has not issued guidance on how prediction-market contracts are taxed. This article explains the options and the sources behind them; a tax professional can tell you which position fits your situation.
What PredictIt says about the 1099
PredictIt's FAQ on net profit for tax reporting describes the calculation:
| Item | Effect |
|---|---|
| Gross profits | Added |
| Losses | Subtracted |
| Trading fees | Subtracted |
| Deposit fees | Not included |
| Withdrawal fees | Included through tax year 2025; excluded from 2026 |
An older PredictIt support article describes the pre-2026 formula, with the 5% withdrawal fee counted whether or not the funds had been withdrawn. So the method depends on the year you're filing for. We could read these PredictIt pages only in search extracts, so confirm the wording in your own account or with PredictIt.
PredictIt's fee page says it charges 10% on your profit when you sell a share for more than you paid, with no fee on break-even or losing trades.
The $600 threshold in 2026
PredictIt's page uses $600. For most Form 1099-MISC payments made in 2026, the IRS threshold rose to $2,000. Whether PredictIt changes its practice isn't something we could confirm. Don't rely on either number. The threshold decides whether a form is sent, not whether income is taxable.
The form tells you less than you think
A single net figure raises the same problem as Kalshi's P&L.
- Capital treatment needs dates, cost and proceeds per position.
- Gambling treatment needs gross winnings and gross losses, not a net.
- Other income can use a net figure, but you should still be able to support it.
So keep your own detail, even with a form in hand.
How to report it
| Treatment | Where | What goes there |
|---|---|---|
| Other income | Schedule 1, line 8z | Net profit |
| Capital | Form 8949 and Schedule D | Per-position cost and proceeds |
| Section 1256 | Form 6781 | Doubtful; see below |
| Gambling | Schedule 1, line 8b; Schedule A | Gross winnings; losses limited to 90% from 2026 |
If your 1099-MISC reports an amount, the IRS has that number. Whichever method you use, your return should account for it. If you use capital treatment, make sure the total of your reported results reconciles to the form, and keep a note explaining the difference. Otherwise you may get a CP2000 notice.
Worked example
A 2026 PredictIt year, with all positions closed:
| Item | Amount |
|---|---|
| Gross winning trades, before fees | $4,000 |
| PredictIt's 10% fee on those profits | −$400 |
| Losing trades | −$2,500 |
| Net profit by PredictIt's method | $1,100 |
| Withdrawal fees | −$60 |
Withdrawal fees don't reduce the 2026 net under PredictIt's stated rule. They're still a real cost, and how you handle them depends on the treatment. Under capital treatment, costs tied to a position affect basis or proceeds; a general withdrawal fee is less clear, and for an investor it may not be deductible. See prediction market expenses.
At a 22% bracket, $1,100 of ordinary income is about $242 of federal tax. Under gambling treatment with the standard deduction, the taxable figure could be the $3,600 of net-of-fee winnings, or about $792.
Does Section 1256 apply to PredictIt?
It's doubtful, for the same reason as Kalshi event contracts. Section 1256 needs a regulated futures contract, which has two parts: a system of marking to market for deposits and withdrawals, and trading on a qualified board or exchange. Check PredictIt's current regulatory status for the exchange test. Even if it passes, fully paid contracts with no margining are a poor fit for the first test. See Section 1256 and prediction markets.
Losses
If you lost money, you'll generally receive no 1099, but the loss may still help under capital treatment. A $1,500 net capital loss can offset other capital gains, or up to $3,000 of other income. Under gambling treatment, it only offsets gambling winnings, and only if you itemize. Under other-income treatment, it generally gives you nothing. See are prediction market winnings taxable?
Don't miss the digital asset question
PredictIt is a dollar-based platform, so PredictIt activity alone generally doesn't make the digital asset answer Yes. Other crypto you touched during the year still counts.
Records to save
- Your 1099, if any
- PredictIt's account history, as far back as it goes
- Your deposit and withdrawal records
- Which formula applied to which tax year
- Your treatment note
Save these before you close an account, since old records may be hard to get later.
If you also trade on-chain, run the free OddsFile check: paste a Polymarket or Hyperliquid address and see your 2026 P&L under each treatment, no signup. Combine it with your PredictIt figures for the year.
FAQ
Does PredictIt report to the IRS?
A 1099 is an IRS information return. If PredictIt issues you one, assume the IRS has a copy.
I made $400. Do I report it?
Yes. There's no minimum for taxable income.
Is PredictIt's net profit the same as what I withdrew?
No. Withdrawals are cash movements. Net profit follows your trading results.
Can I deduct PredictIt's 10% profit fee?
It's already reflected in PredictIt's net figure. Don't subtract it a second time.
Software, not tax advice. We do not prepare or file tax returns. The IRS has not ruled on how prediction-market contracts are taxed; figures shown are estimates of possible treatments. Confirm your position with a qualified tax professional. Read the full disclaimer.
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